2026-09-28 · midday

Net cash / NLV is red at -0.111, $16,878 past the -0.10 line, and the book is down $4,819 since this morning's open. Red means Rule 3: tier 1 sales. Gross leverage 1.751x red; long-leg band still over. GOOGL $342.32, nearest written level tranche 3 at $360, +5.17%. INTC -5.7%, no written rule. Today's forecasting pipeline run refused at pre-flight.

What to do

Still over, unchanged

Why each one reads the way it does

Everything else clear

All 27 triggers swept, with today's number
price triggernowfires atdistance
GOOGL - tranche 3 confirmation (nearest written level)$342.32≥ $3605.2% up
GOOGL - tranche 2 weakness$342.32≤ $3177.4% down
GOOGL - thesis break, close regardless of price$342.32≤ $28018.2% down
MU - collar roll level$1,053.75≥ $1,25018.6% up
GOOGL - washout, stop selling spreads and buy stock$342.32≤ $26024.1% down
GOOGL - Rule 8, deploy the $100k crash reserve$342.32≤ $26024.1% down
GOOGL - no chase past $380-390 short$342.32≥ $43025.6% up
GOOGL - Rule 6, close every short put$342.32≥ $43426.8% up
GOOGL - long spreads near max, would-I-buy-it-fresh test$342.32≥ $50046.1% up
GOOGL - shares capped by the 600Cs$342.32≥ $60075.3% up
level triggernowfires atdistance
Net cash / NLV, now red-0.111back above -0.10 (amber)$16,878 of sales at midday NLV.
Every long call spread against the 90%-of-width sell rule42.67% is the highest90% of widthDec-28 300/400 42.67% at midday marks; the rest below it, as at the open.
Dec-28 put IV, the alternate tranche-2 trigger36.15%43% (Rule 8 at 50%)6.85 points. implied_vol used: option-midpoint-iv returned the open run's exact value, treated as frozen.
GOOGL Dec-28 340P extrinsic, the assignment watch$55.38$5Put is $2.32 out of the money; the whole mark is extrinsic.
Program cap$175,059$200,000$24,941 of room. (as at the open; positions unchanged)
Excess liquidity against the Part 4 amber75.93% of NLV40% amber, 25% red$1,122,063 against a $650,000 floor.
NLV on the week against the 72-hour freeze row-1.75%a FALL of 8% in one weekStruck against 2026-09-21's open, $1,504,190.78.
calendardateaway
MU fiscal Q4 print, after the close2026-09-302d
Earliest clean sale date for the 6/05 GOOG loss lots if only bought calls count as replacement property2026-10-013d
Earliest clean sale date if a WRITTEN call is also replacement property2026-10-1517d
GOOG print, first scheduled thesis adjudicator2026-10-2830d
Deploy the $100k reserve at market if no crash has come2026-10-2931d
GOOG capex guide, second scheduled adjudicator2027-02-03128d
GOOG lots vest long-term, add collar put leg 9 (+66 sh)2027-03-13166d
GOOG lots vest long-term, add collar put legs 10-11 (+200 sh)2027-04-02186d
GOOG lots vest long-term, legs 12-14 (+350 sh)2027-06-05250d
GOOG lots vest long-term, leg 15 (+50 sh)2027-06-25270d
Spot prices
lastday
PANW$393.39+5.0%
CRWD$259.90+3.1%
NVDA$228.73+1.6%
GOOGL$342.32-0.5%
GOOG$339.00-0.6%
HD$290.76-0.8%
VOO$703.77-1.0%
DIS$105.03-1.1%
AMZN$246.19-1.4%
EQT$50.04-1.5%
MU$1,053.75-2.6%
TSLA$358.19-3.7%
RDDT$143.85-4.0%
META$717.59-4.5%
INTC$115.97-5.7%

The check itself

Rails that could not be evaluated
Where the numbers came from