SELL 200 AMZN, SELL 200 EQT, SELL 1 TSLA, SELL 1 DIS (limit near last, day)| rail | now | limit | |
|---|---|---|---|
| long_leg_band | 280P x5, 300P x8 | $230-$260 band | 13 contracts outside |
| gross_leverage | 1.7513x | 1.5x red (1.3x amber) | 0.2513x over red |
| top2_name_delta_ratio | 0.62x | amber 0.70x, red 0.85x | clear |
| total_delta_ratio | 0.96x | amber 1.30x, red 1.50x | clear |
| name | delta notional | of NLV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOOG | $756,405 | 51.2% | 1543 sh, 18 legs |
| MU | $161,975 | 11.0% | 525 sh, 2 legs |
| VOO | $121,752 | 8.2% | 173 sh, 0 legs |
| META | $103,333 | 7.0% | 144 sh, 0 legs |
| NVDA | $97,808 | 6.6% | 485 sh, 2 legs |
| RDDT | $73,795 | 5.0% | 513 sh, 0 legs |
| AMZN | $49,238 | 3.3% | 200 sh, 0 legs |
| INTC | $34,791 | 2.4% | 300 sh, 0 legs |
| EQT | $10,008 | 0.7% | 200 sh, 0 legs |
| CRWD | $2,599 | 0.2% | 10 sh, 0 legs |
| PANW | $1,967 | 0.1% | 5 sh, 0 legs |
| TSLA | $358 | 0.0% | 1 sh, 0 legs |
| HD | $291 | 0.0% | 1 sh, 0 legs |
| DIS | $105 | 0.0% | 1 sh, 0 legs |
| price trigger | now | fires at | distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL - tranche 3 confirmation (nearest written level) | $342.32 | ≥ $360 | 5.2% up |
| GOOGL - tranche 2 weakness | $342.32 | ≤ $317 | 7.4% down |
| GOOGL - thesis break, close regardless of price | $342.32 | ≤ $280 | 18.2% down |
| MU - collar roll level | $1,053.75 | ≥ $1,250 | 18.6% up |
| GOOGL - washout, stop selling spreads and buy stock | $342.32 | ≤ $260 | 24.1% down |
| GOOGL - Rule 8, deploy the $100k crash reserve | $342.32 | ≤ $260 | 24.1% down |
| GOOGL - no chase past $380-390 short | $342.32 | ≥ $430 | 25.6% up |
| GOOGL - Rule 6, close every short put | $342.32 | ≥ $434 | 26.8% up |
| GOOGL - long spreads near max, would-I-buy-it-fresh test | $342.32 | ≥ $500 | 46.1% up |
| GOOGL - shares capped by the 600Cs | $342.32 | ≥ $600 | 75.3% up |
| level trigger | now | fires at | distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash / NLV, now red | -0.111 | back above -0.10 (amber) | $16,878 of sales at midday NLV. |
| Every long call spread against the 90%-of-width sell rule | 42.67% is the highest | 90% of width | Dec-28 300/400 42.67% at midday marks; the rest below it, as at the open. |
| Dec-28 put IV, the alternate tranche-2 trigger | 36.15% | 43% (Rule 8 at 50%) | 6.85 points. implied_vol used: option-midpoint-iv returned the open run's exact value, treated as frozen. |
| GOOGL Dec-28 340P extrinsic, the assignment watch | $55.38 | $5 | Put is $2.32 out of the money; the whole mark is extrinsic. |
| Program cap | $175,059 | $200,000 | $24,941 of room. (as at the open; positions unchanged) |
| Excess liquidity against the Part 4 amber | 75.93% of NLV | 40% amber, 25% red | $1,122,063 against a $650,000 floor. |
| NLV on the week against the 72-hour freeze row | -1.75% | a FALL of 8% in one week | Struck against 2026-09-21's open, $1,504,190.78. |
| calendar | date | away |
|---|---|---|
| MU fiscal Q4 print, after the close | 2026-09-30 | 2d |
| Earliest clean sale date for the 6/05 GOOG loss lots if only bought calls count as replacement property | 2026-10-01 | 3d |
| Earliest clean sale date if a WRITTEN call is also replacement property | 2026-10-15 | 17d |
| GOOG print, first scheduled thesis adjudicator | 2026-10-28 | 30d |
| Deploy the $100k reserve at market if no crash has come | 2026-10-29 | 31d |
| GOOG capex guide, second scheduled adjudicator | 2027-02-03 | 128d |
| GOOG lots vest long-term, add collar put leg 9 (+66 sh) | 2027-03-13 | 166d |
| GOOG lots vest long-term, add collar put legs 10-11 (+200 sh) | 2027-04-02 | 186d |
| GOOG lots vest long-term, legs 12-14 (+350 sh) | 2027-06-05 | 250d |
| GOOG lots vest long-term, leg 15 (+50 sh) | 2027-06-25 | 270d |
| last | day | |
|---|---|---|
| PANW | $393.39 | +5.0% |
| CRWD | $259.90 | +3.1% |
| NVDA | $228.73 | +1.6% |
| GOOGL | $342.32 | -0.5% |
| GOOG | $339.00 | -0.6% |
| HD | $290.76 | -0.8% |
| VOO | $703.77 | -1.0% |
| DIS | $105.03 | -1.1% |
| AMZN | $246.19 | -1.4% |
| EQT | $50.04 | -1.5% |
| MU | $1,053.75 | -2.6% |
| TSLA | $358.19 | -3.7% |
| RDDT | $143.85 | -4.0% |
| META | $717.59 | -4.5% |
| INTC | $115.97 | -5.7% |